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Michael Penix Jr. prop stats & hit rates
Tonight: ATL @ TB
Sun 1:01 PM ET · Spread +2.5 · Total 43.5 · FanDuel lines at build time (Fri Oct 30, 8:02 PM ET), lines move, check the app.
| Prop | Line | Over | Under | L5 | L10 | Season | Median L5 / L10 | Opp vs QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yds · O/U 229.5 | O/U 229.5 | -114 | -114 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 225 / 225 line above median | 19th most allowed |
| Passing TDs · O/U 1.5 | O/U 1.5 | +138 | -186 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1 / 1 line above median | 19th most allowed |
| Rushing Yds · O/U 1.5 | O/U 1.5 | -128 | -102 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | -1 / -1 line above median | 26th most allowed |
Floor lines tonight cleared 8+ of last 10
| Line | FanDuel | L10 | L5 | Median L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200+ Passing Yds | -250 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 225 |
| 1+ Passing TDs | -420 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 1 |
| 175+ Passing Yds | -490 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 225 |
| 150+ Passing Yds | -1200 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 225 |
Hit rates are history, not a promise. Model picks, not locks. 21+ | 1-800-GAMBLER
Hit rates on common NFL prop lines
How often Michael Penix Jr. cleared each line in his last 5 games, last 10 games and this season. "20+" means 20 or more (the same as Over 19.5).
Passing Yds
Last 10 avg 231.4 · median 225
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 150+ | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 |
| 175+ | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 |
| 200+ | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 |
| 225+ | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| 250+ | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
Passing TDs
Last 10 avg 1.8 · median 1
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 |
| 2+ | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| 3+ | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
Pass Completions
Last 10 avg 19.2 · median 19
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15+ | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 |
| 18+ | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| 20+ | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| 22+ | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| 25+ | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
Pass Attempts
Last 10 avg 28.8 · median 32
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25+ | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| 30+ | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
Rushing Yds
Last 10 avg 0.8 · median -1
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20+ | 0/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 |
Anytime TD
Last 10 avg 0.0 · median 0
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 0/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 |
Snap share trend
Last 5 games, oldest to newest. A drop here is the first sign a line is getting harder to clear.
Michael Penix Jr. game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap | C/A | Pass Yd | Pass TD | Rush Yd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | vs SF | 100 | 25/34 | 213 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 6 | vs CHI | 100 | 19/33 | 225 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 5 | vs BAL | 95 | 19/32 | 240 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 4 | @ NO | 100 | 15/20 | 223 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 3 | @ GB | 100 | 18/25 | 256 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Quick answers
What has Michael Penix Jr. averaged in passing yds over his last 10 games?
231.4 passing yds per game over his last 5 games (median 225), through Oct 30, 2026.
How often does Michael Penix Jr. get 225+ passing yds?
3 of his last 5 games and 3 of 5 games this season.
How often does Michael Penix Jr. get 20+ rushing yds?
0 of his last 5 games and 0 of 5 games this season.
Is Michael Penix Jr. playing tonight?
Not on the injury report as of 8:23 PM ET. Check again close to game time.
Michael Penix Jr. FanDuel props · All NFL player stats · Floor-line board · Defense vs position
Sources: nflverse-data releases (CC-BY 4.0): weekly player stats, snap counts (via Pro-Football-Reference), schedules; injury status from the official NBA report and ESPN; tonight's lines from FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan). Model picks, not locks. Hit rates describe past games only. 21+ | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.