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Michael Penix Jr. player props
ATL @ TB · Sun 1:01 PM ET · Active · updated 8:36 PM
His numbers, in charts
Every chart uses his real game logs. Past results, not a prediction.
Passing Yds
Tonight's FanDuel line 232.5 · Over -114 / Under -114
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Last 5 games · over 232.5 in 2 of 5 · average 231.4
How often he hits common marks (last 5)
Averages (games played)
Dashed mark = tonight's line 232.5. Teal = average above it, red = below. Home/away use this season.
Rush yds
No FanDuel line for this stat right now.
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Last 5 games, oldest → newest · average 0.8
How often he hits common marks (last 5)
Averages (games played)
Home/away use this season.
Snap share trend (% of team plays)
Oldest → newest. Dashed = his average 99%.
Computed by Slip Surgeon from nflverse weekly stats, updated once a day. "Over" means he beat the line; 24.5 needs 25+.
Free stats for Michael Penix Jr. (Atlanta Falcons QB): his FanDuel lines, how he did against them lately, and how Tampa Bay Buccaneers defend his position.
FanDuel lines
| Prop | Line | Over | Under | Implied (over) | DvP vs TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yds | 232.5 | -114 | -114 | 53.3% | 19th of 32 |
| Passing TDs | 1.5 | +134 | -180 | 42.7% | 18th of 32 |
FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan) prices, captured at build time; implied % includes the book's margin. DvP rank 1 = the defense that allows the most of that stat to his position this season.
Model read
No strong pick on his lines right now. That's not a lean either way. See the Hunter for every leg that did.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense vs quarterbacks
- Passing Yds: allows the 19th-most to quarterbacks (233.7 per game, -0.8% vs league average).
- Passing TDs: allows the 18th-most to quarterbacks (1.4 per game, -6.7% vs league average).
Full breakdown: Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense vs position.
Game log, usage & hit ratessnap 99%
How often Michael Penix Jr. went over each FanDuel line he has this week (2026 regular season).
| Line | L5 | Szn | Away | vs TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass yds 232.5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/2 | - |
| Pass TD 1.5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 0/2 | - |
Last 5 games
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Cmp/Att | Pass yds | Pass TD | Car | Rush yds | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | vs SF | 100% | 25/34 | 213 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 0 |
| 6 | vs CHI | 100% | 19/33 | 225 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5 | vs BAL | 95% | 19/32 | 240 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 4 | @ NO | 100% | 15/20 | 223 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 3 | @ GB | 100% | 18/25 | 256 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Season: 5 games; TD in 0 of 5 (0%); avg snap share 99%; 2.4 carries, 0.8 rush yds per game; 231 pass yds per game.
Data: nflverse (CC-BY 4.0) weekly player stats and snap counts (snap counts originally from Pro-Football-Reference), 2026 regular season through Week 7, updated once a day. Target share = his share of team targets. Past results, not a prediction. Model picks, not locks.
Whole game: Falcons vs Buccaneers player props. All players: NFL player props.
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