Monday Night Football Player Props: Bills at Vikings

Buffalo and Minnesota both sit at 6-1 heading into Monday Night Football, and the Vikings just changed quarterbacks. That is the whole prop board in one sentence. Here is a fresh look at Monday Night Football player props for Bills at Vikings, built from FanDuel mains that sit under recent medians, with BetMGM as the second price.

Updated Fri Nov 6, 10:20 AM ET. Lines below were captured from our FanDuel feed at 7:02 AM ET. They will move. Re-check Floor Lines and the Bills at Vikings game page before you build anything. These are model reads, never locks.

The Monday night storyline

Kevin O'Connell told reporters Thursday that Carson Wentz will start for Minnesota while Kyler Murray sits week-to-week with a hamstring strain (Vikings.com, NFL.com, and Adam Schefter's Thursday report). Murray is out for this game. We are not turning a soft-tissue injury into a betting angle on Murray himself. The usable part is the QB change: Wentz is the starter, Max Brosmer is the backup, and Minnesota's skill players now line up behind a different passer than they have used for most of the season.

Buffalo is listed around -3 with a total near 44.5 on our Friday morning board. That spread clears our under-9.5 filter, so the game stays on the board.

If you are new to reading these, how player props work covers the basics. For the rest of Week 9's Sunday slate, see our NFL Week 9 player props board.

How we picked these Monday Night Football player props

Every line here had to clear four checks as of Friday morning:

• Active: no injury designation in our props feed (Questionable names are listed later as skips, not picks).
• Below the medians: the FanDuel main sits under the player's median over his last five games and his 2026 sample in our Floor Lines file.
• Cleared often: he has gone over that number in most of his recent games on the same board.
• No blowout spread: Bills-Vikings is under 9.5 points.

Buffalo Bills props (away)

Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills QB, at Minnesota Vikings. Passing yards 237.5 at -114 on FanDuel; BetMGM has 234.5 at -115. His last-five median is 253 passing yards (nflverse through Week 8), and Floor Lines shows he has cleared this main in 5 of his last 5 tracked games. Kickoff Mon Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET. Allen's game log.

James Cook, Buffalo Bills RB, at Minnesota Vikings. Rushing yards 82.5 at -114 on FanDuel and 82.5 at -115 on BetMGM. Last-five median 95 rush yards. Floor Lines has him over this main in 5 of his last 5. Season sample through Week 8 still sits above the number in most weeks. Cook's game log.

Khalil Shakir, Buffalo Bills WR, at Minnesota Vikings. Receiving yards 36.5 at -114 on FanDuel; BetMGM 38.5 at -115. Last-five median 64, season median 50. Floor Lines has him over 36.5 in 4 of his last 5. The receptions main at 3.5 (FanDuel -122 / BetMGM 3.5) also sits under his median of 4. Shakir's game log.

Minnesota Vikings props (home)

Carson Wentz, Minnesota Vikings QB, vs Buffalo Bills. Passing yards 209.5 at -114 on FanDuel; BetMGM 212.5 at -115. Wentz has only two 2026 appearances so far: 133 pass yards and three touchdowns in relief against Green Bay in Week 1, then 143 yards in a rain-soaked start at Chicago in Week 2 (nflverse). That is a tiny sample, so we are not tagging 209.5 as a below-median over. Treat it as the price the market is using for his second start of the year. His rush line is 7.5 at -114 on FanDuel. Wentz's game log.

Aaron Jones, Minnesota Vikings RB, vs Buffalo Bills. Rushing yards 31.5 at -114 on both FanDuel and BetMGM. Last-five median 58, and Floor Lines shows strong clears at lower alt rungs. One caution: our board's projection sits near 30, so the main is soft versus his median but not a free roll. Jones' game log.

Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings WR, vs Buffalo Bills. Receiving yards 76.5 at -114 on FanDuel; BetMGM 75.5. His recent median is well under that number (last-five receiving-yard median 33 in nflverse), so this is not a below-median over. Wentz saying he wants to get Jefferson the ball is the storyline; the price already assumes a bigger night. Jefferson's game log.

Jordan Addison, Minnesota Vikings WR, vs Buffalo Bills. Receiving yards 39.5 at -114 / BetMGM 38.5. Last-five median 52, but the season median sits at 36.5, so it fails the "below both medians" rule and stays off the pick list. Addison's game log.

T.J. Hockenson, Minnesota Vikings TE, vs Buffalo Bills. Receiving yards 41.5 at -114 / BetMGM 42.5. Season average about 46 in our feed; recent median closer to 35. Borderline, not a clean below-median tag. Hockenson's game log.

Questionable names we are skipping

As of Friday morning our feed still had injury tags on several Bills and Vikings skill players, including Dalton Kincaid (chest), Keon Coleman (shoulder), DJ Moore (shoulder), Ty Johnson (illness), and Jauan Jennings (calf). Questionable is never a pick here. Wait for Saturday's designations, then re-check Floor Lines.

The board at a glance

Before you bet

NFL inactives land about 90 minutes before kickoff. Monday status can still change after Saturday's report. If you stack Allen and Cook on one ticket, read same game parlay tips first and run the slip through Slip Surgery. Defense vs Position shows how each unit has handled the position this season.

Want the wider Week 9 Sunday board too? Start with NFL Week 9 player props, then come back here for the prime-time game.

Model picks, not promises. For entertainment and information only. 21+ | 1-800-GAMBLER. If betting stops being fun, read our responsible gaming page.