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Josh Allen prop stats & hit rates
Tonight: BUF vs BAL
Sun 1:01 PM ET · Spread -3 · Total 54.5 · FanDuel lines at build time (Fri Oct 30, 8:02 PM ET), lines move, check the app.
| Prop | Line | Over | Under | L5 | L10 | Season | Median L5 / L10 | Opp vs QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yds · O/U 247.5 | O/U 247.5 | -114 | -114 | 3/5 | 4/6 | 4/6 | 248 / 250.5 | 17th most allowed |
| Passing TDs · O/U 1.5 | O/U 1.5 | -146 | +110 | 2/5 | 3/6 | 3/6 | 1 / 1.5 line above median | 21st most allowed |
| Rushing Yds · O/U 35.5 | O/U 35.5 | -114 | -114 | 2/5 | 2/6 | 2/6 | 22 / 22.5 line above median | 16th most allowed |
Floor lines tonight cleared 8+ of last 10
| Line | FanDuel | L10 | L5 | Median L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200+ Passing Yds | -420 | 6/6 | 5/5 | 250.5 |
| 175+ Passing Yds | -900 | 6/6 | 5/5 | 250.5 |
| 1+ Anytime TD | -160 | 5/6 | 4/5 | 1.5 |
| 1+ Passing TDs | -900 | 5/6 | 4/5 | 1.5 |
Hit rates are history, not a promise. Model picks, not locks. 21+ | 1-800-GAMBLER
Hit rates on common NFL prop lines
How often Josh Allen cleared each line in his last 5 games, last 10 games and this season. "20+" means 20 or more (the same as Over 19.5).
Passing Yds
Last 10 avg 250.7 · median 250.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 200+ | 5/5 | 6/6 | 6/6 |
| 225+ | 3/5 | 4/6 | 4/6 |
| 250+ | 2/5 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| 275+ | 0/5 | 1/6 | 1/6 |
| 300+ | 0/5 | 1/6 | 1/6 |
Passing TDs
Last 10 avg 1.5 · median 1.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 4/5 | 5/6 | 5/6 |
| 2+ | 2/5 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| 3+ | 1/5 | 1/6 | 1/6 |
Pass Completions
Last 10 avg 19.0 · median 20
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15+ | 4/5 | 5/6 | 5/6 |
| 18+ | 3/5 | 4/6 | 4/6 |
| 20+ | 3/5 | 4/6 | 4/6 |
| 22+ | 2/5 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
Pass Attempts
Last 10 avg 28.5 · median 30
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25+ | 4/5 | 5/6 | 5/6 |
| 30+ | 3/5 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Rushing Yds
Last 10 avg 40.0 · median 22.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20+ | 3/5 | 4/6 | 4/6 |
| 30+ | 2/5 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
| 40+ | 2/5 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
| 50+ | 2/5 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
| 60+ | 2/5 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
Anytime TD
Last 10 avg 1.3 · median 1.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 4/5 | 5/6 | 5/6 |
| 2+ | 2/5 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Snap share trend
Last 6 games, oldest to newest. A drop here is the first sign a line is getting harder to clear.
Josh Allen game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap | C/A | Pass Yd | Pass TD | Rush Yd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | @ LV | 100 | 23/33 | 255 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 5 | @ LA | 100 | 12/19 | 210 | 1 | 121 | 1 |
| 4 | vs NE | 100 | 23/33 | 253 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 3 | vs LAC | 100 | 16/26 | 204 | 0 | 22 | 2 |
| 2 | vs DET | 100 | 20/31 | 248 | 3 | 69 | 2 |
| 1 | @ HOU | 100 | 20/29 | 334 | 2 | 23 | 2 |
Quick answers
What has Josh Allen averaged in passing yds over his last 10 games?
250.7 passing yds per game over his last 6 games (median 250.5), through Oct 30, 2026.
How often does Josh Allen get 250+ passing yds?
3 of his last 6 games and 3 of 6 games this season.
How often does Josh Allen get 20+ rushing yds?
4 of his last 6 games and 4 of 6 games this season.
Is Josh Allen playing tonight?
Not on the injury report as of 8:12 PM ET. Check again close to game time.
Josh Allen FanDuel props · All NFL player stats · Floor-line board · Defense vs position
Sources: nflverse-data releases (CC-BY 4.0): weekly player stats, snap counts (via Pro-Football-Reference), schedules; injury status from the official NBA report and ESPN; tonight's lines from FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan). Model picks, not locks. Hit rates describe past games only. 21+ | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.