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NFL player stats · MIN · WR
Justin Jefferson prop stats & hit rates
Tonight: MIN @ DET
Sun 1:01 PM ET · Spread +3.5 · Total 46.5 · FanDuel lines at build time (Fri Oct 30, 8:02 PM ET), lines move, check the app.
| Prop | Line | Over | Under | L5 | L10 | Season | Median L5 / L10 | Opp vs WR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yds · O/U 75.5 | O/U 75.5 | -114 | -114 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 55 / 55 line above median | 3rd most allowed |
| Receptions · O/U 5.5 | O/U 5.5 | -158 | +118 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 4 / 4 line above median | 1st most allowed |
Floor lines tonight cleared 8+ of last 10
| Line | FanDuel | L10 | L5 | Median L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30+ Receiving Yds | -1600 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 55 |
| 40+ Receiving Yds | -670 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 55 |
Hit rates are history, not a promise. Model picks, not locks. 21+ | 1-800-GAMBLER
Hit rates on common NFL prop lines
How often Justin Jefferson cleared each line in his last 5 games, last 10 games and this season. "20+" means 20 or more (the same as Over 19.5).
Receptions
Last 10 avg 4.6 · median 4
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 |
| 3+ | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| 4+ | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| 5+ | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| 6+ | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
Receiving Yds
Last 10 avg 60.4 · median 55
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30+ | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 |
| 40+ | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| 50+ | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| 60+ | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| 75+ | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
Anytime TD
Last 10 avg 0.6 · median 0
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| 2+ | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
Snap share trend
Last 5 games, oldest to newest. A drop here is the first sign a line is getting harder to clear.
Justin Jefferson game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yd | Rush Yd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | vs IND | 93 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | @ NO | 89 | 7 | 6 | 79 | -11 | 1 |
| 3 | @ TB | 12 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | @ CHI | 100 | 6 | 3 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | vs GB | 92 | 9 | 8 | 92 | 0 | 2 |
Quick answers
What has Justin Jefferson averaged in receptions over his last 10 games?
4.6 receptions per game over his last 5 games (median 4), through Oct 30, 2026.
How often does Justin Jefferson get 4+ receptions?
3 of his last 5 games and 3 of 5 games this season.
How often does Justin Jefferson get 50+ receiving yds?
3 of his last 5 games and 3 of 5 games this season.
Is Justin Jefferson playing tonight?
Listed Active as of 8:23 PM ET. Check again close to game time.
Justin Jefferson FanDuel props · All NFL player stats · Floor-line board · Defense vs position
Sources: nflverse-data releases (CC-BY 4.0): weekly player stats, snap counts (via Pro-Football-Reference), schedules; injury status from the official NBA report and ESPN; tonight's lines from FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan). Model picks, not locks. Hit rates describe past games only. 21+ | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.