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Zay Flowers prop stats & hit rates
Tonight: BAL @ BUF
Sun 1:01 PM ET · Spread +3 · Total 54.5 · FanDuel lines at build time (Fri Oct 30, 8:02 PM ET), lines move, check the app.
| Prop | Line | Over | Under | L5 | L10 | Season | Median L5 / L10 | Opp vs WR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yds · O/U 82.5 | O/U 82.5 | -114 | -114 | 3/5 | 4/6 | 4/6 | 84 / 101 | 7th most allowed |
| Receptions · O/U 6.5 | O/U 6.5 | +120 | -160 | 3/5 | 3/6 | 3/6 | 8 / 7 | 6th most allowed |
Floor lines tonight cleared 8+ of last 10
| Line | FanDuel | L10 | L5 | Median L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5+ Receptions | -320 | 6/6 | 5/5 | 7 |
| 50+ Receiving Yds | -470 | 6/6 | 5/5 | 101 |
| 4+ Receptions | -800 | 6/6 | 5/5 | 7 |
| 40+ Receiving Yds | -900 | 6/6 | 5/5 | 101 |
| 60+ Receiving Yds | -280 | 5/6 | 4/5 | 101 |
Hit rates are history, not a promise. Model picks, not locks. 21+ | 1-800-GAMBLER
Hit rates on common NFL prop lines
How often Zay Flowers cleared each line in his last 5 games, last 10 games and this season. "20+" means 20 or more (the same as Over 19.5).
Receptions
Last 10 avg 6.7 · median 7
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4+ | 5/5 | 6/6 | 6/6 |
| 5+ | 5/5 | 6/6 | 6/6 |
| 6+ | 4/5 | 4/6 | 4/6 |
| 7+ | 3/5 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| 8+ | 3/5 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Receiving Yds
Last 10 avg 101.3 · median 101
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40+ | 5/5 | 6/6 | 6/6 |
| 50+ | 5/5 | 6/6 | 6/6 |
| 60+ | 4/5 | 5/6 | 5/6 |
| 75+ | 3/5 | 4/6 | 4/6 |
| 100+ | 2/5 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Anytime TD
Last 10 avg 0.5 · median 0.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 2/5 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Rushing Yds
Last 10 avg 5.7 · median 0.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20+ | 1/5 | 1/6 | 1/6 |
Snap share trend
Last 6 games, oldest to newest. A drop here is the first sign a line is getting harder to clear.
Zay Flowers game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yd | Rush Yd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | vs CIN | 85 | 11 | 8 | 137 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | @ CLE | 88 | 11 | 6 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 5 | @ ATL | 82 | 9 | 8 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 4 | vs TEN | 73 | 10 | 8 | 118 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | @ DAL | 33 | 6 | 5 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 1 | @ IND | 29 | 6 | 5 | 150 | 0 | 1 |
Quick answers
What has Zay Flowers averaged in receptions over his last 10 games?
6.7 receptions per game over his last 6 games (median 7), through Oct 30, 2026.
How often does Zay Flowers get 7+ receptions?
3 of his last 6 games and 3 of 6 games this season.
How often does Zay Flowers get 100+ receiving yds?
3 of his last 6 games and 3 of 6 games this season.
Is Zay Flowers playing tonight?
Listed Active as of 8:23 PM ET. Check again close to game time.
Zay Flowers FanDuel props · All NFL player stats · Floor-line board · Defense vs position
Sources: nflverse-data releases (CC-BY 4.0): weekly player stats, snap counts (via Pro-Football-Reference), schedules; injury status from the official NBA report and ESPN; tonight's lines from FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan). Model picks, not locks. Hit rates describe past games only. 21+ | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.