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Sam Darnold prop stats & hit rates
Tonight: SEA vs CHI
Mon 8:16 PM ET · Spread -3 · Total 46.5 · FanDuel lines at build time (Fri Oct 30, 8:02 PM ET), lines move, check the app.
| Prop | Line | Over | Under | L5 | L10 | Season | Median L5 / L10 | Opp vs QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yds · O/U 237.5 | O/U 237.5 | -114 | -114 | 3/5 | 3/6 | 3/6 | 257 / 226 line above median | 13th most allowed |
| Passing TDs · O/U 1.5 | O/U 1.5 | -110 | -120 | 2/5 | 2/6 | 2/6 | 1 / 1 line above median | 11th most allowed |
| Rushing Yds · O/U 4.5 | O/U 4.5 | -114 | -114 | 5/5 | 5/6 | 5/6 | 6 / 5.5 | 20th most allowed |
Floor lines tonight cleared 8+ of last 10
| Line | FanDuel | L10 | L5 | Median L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5+ Rushing Yds | -114 | 5/6 | 5/5 | 5.5 |
| 150+ Passing Yds | -1450 | 5/6 | 5/5 | 226 |
Hit rates are history, not a promise. Model picks, not locks. 21+ | 1-800-GAMBLER
Hit rates on common NFL prop lines
How often Sam Darnold cleared each line in his last 5 games, last 10 games and this season. "20+" means 20 or more (the same as Over 19.5).
Passing Yds
Last 10 avg 215.0 · median 226
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 175+ | 4/5 | 4/6 | 4/6 |
| 200+ | 3/5 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| 225+ | 3/5 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| 250+ | 3/5 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| 275+ | 2/5 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
Passing TDs
Last 10 avg 1.3 · median 1
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 4/5 | 4/6 | 4/6 |
| 2+ | 2/5 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
| 3+ | 1/5 | 1/6 | 1/6 |
Pass Completions
Last 10 avg 18.3 · median 19
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15+ | 4/5 | 4/6 | 4/6 |
| 18+ | 4/5 | 4/6 | 4/6 |
| 20+ | 3/5 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| 22+ | 2/5 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
| 25+ | 2/5 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
Pass Attempts
Last 10 avg 29.5 · median 28.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25+ | 4/5 | 4/6 | 4/6 |
| 30+ | 2/5 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
| 35+ | 2/5 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
| 40+ | 2/5 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
Rushing Yds
Last 10 avg 8.7 · median 5.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20+ | 0/5 | 0/6 | 0/6 |
Anytime TD
Last 10 avg 0.0 · median 0
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 0/5 | 0/6 | 0/6 |
Snap share trend
Last 6 games, oldest to newest. A drop here is the first sign a line is getting harder to clear.
Sam Darnold game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap | C/A | Pass Yd | Pass TD | Rush Yd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | vs KC | 100 | 20/28 | 257 | 1 | 17 | 0 |
| 6 | @ DEN | 100 | 27/51 | 278 | 0 | 19 | 0 |
| 5 | vs SF | 100 | 18/29 | 195 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 4 | vs LAC | 100 | 13/22 | 168 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 3 | @ WAS | 100 | 31/45 | 379 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| 1 | vs NE | 10 | 1/2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Quick answers
What has Sam Darnold averaged in passing yds over his last 10 games?
215.0 passing yds per game over his last 6 games (median 226), through Oct 30, 2026.
How often does Sam Darnold get 225+ passing yds?
3 of his last 6 games and 3 of 6 games this season.
How often does Sam Darnold get 20+ rushing yds?
0 of his last 6 games and 0 of 6 games this season.
Is Sam Darnold playing tonight?
Listed Active as of 8:12 PM ET. Check again close to game time.
Sam Darnold FanDuel props · All NFL player stats · Floor-line board · Defense vs position
Sources: nflverse-data releases (CC-BY 4.0): weekly player stats, snap counts (via Pro-Football-Reference), schedules; injury status from the official NBA report and ESPN; tonight's lines from FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan). Model picks, not locks. Hit rates describe past games only. 21+ | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.