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Michael Wilson prop stats & hit rates
Tonight: ARI @ DAL
Sun 1:01 PM ET · Spread +7 · Total 54.5 · FanDuel lines at build time (Fri Oct 30, 8:02 PM ET), lines move, check the app.
| Prop | Line | Over | Under | L5 | L10 | Season | Median L5 / L10 | Opp vs WR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yds · O/U 56.5 | O/U 56.5 | -114 | -114 | 2/5 | 2/7 | 2/7 | 55 / 55 line above median | 9th most allowed |
| Receptions · O/U 4.5 | O/U 4.5 | -118 | -112 | 2/5 | 3/7 | 3/7 | 4 / 4 line above median | 13th most allowed |
Floor lines tonight cleared 8+ of last 10
| Line | FanDuel | L10 | L5 | Median L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4+ Receptions | -270 | 6/7 | 5/5 | 4 |
| 30+ Receiving Yds | -500 | 6/7 | 5/5 | 55 |
| 3+ Receptions | -700 | 6/7 | 5/5 | 4 |
| 25+ Receiving Yds | -750 | 6/7 | 5/5 | 55 |
| 20+ Receiving Yds | -1400 | 6/7 | 5/5 | 55 |
Hit rates are history, not a promise. Model picks, not locks. 21+ | 1-800-GAMBLER
Hit rates on common NFL prop lines
How often Michael Wilson cleared each line in his last 5 games, last 10 games and this season. "20+" means 20 or more (the same as Over 19.5).
Receptions
Last 10 avg 5.3 · median 4
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ | 5/5 | 7/7 | 7/7 |
| 3+ | 5/5 | 6/7 | 6/7 |
| 4+ | 5/5 | 6/7 | 6/7 |
| 5+ | 2/5 | 3/7 | 3/7 |
| 6+ | 2/5 | 2/7 | 2/7 |
Receiving Yds
Last 10 avg 53.6 · median 55
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30+ | 5/5 | 6/7 | 6/7 |
| 40+ | 3/5 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
| 50+ | 3/5 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
| 60+ | 2/5 | 2/7 | 2/7 |
| 75+ | 2/5 | 2/7 | 2/7 |
Anytime TD
Last 10 avg 0.1 · median 0
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 1/5 | 1/7 | 1/7 |
Rushing Yds
Last 10 avg 1.6 · median 0
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20+ | 0/5 | 0/7 | 0/7 |
Snap share trend
Last 7 games, oldest to newest. A drop here is the first sign a line is getting harder to clear.
Michael Wilson game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yd | Rush Yd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | vs DEN | 90 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 6 | @ LA | 92 | 7 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | vs DET | 84 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | @ NYG | 94 | 13 | 7 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | @ SF | 93 | 17 | 11 | 89 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | vs SEA | 94 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | @ LAC | 85 | 7 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Quick answers
What has Michael Wilson averaged in receptions over his last 10 games?
5.3 receptions per game over his last 7 games (median 4), through Oct 30, 2026.
How often does Michael Wilson get 4+ receptions?
6 of his last 7 games and 6 of 7 games this season.
How often does Michael Wilson get 50+ receiving yds?
4 of his last 7 games and 4 of 7 games this season.
Is Michael Wilson playing tonight?
Listed Active as of 8:12 PM ET. Check again close to game time.
Michael Wilson FanDuel props · All NFL player stats · Floor-line board · Defense vs position
Sources: nflverse-data releases (CC-BY 4.0): weekly player stats, snap counts (via Pro-Football-Reference), schedules; injury status from the official NBA report and ESPN; tonight's lines from FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan). Model picks, not locks. Hit rates describe past games only. 21+ | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.