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Justin Herbert prop stats & hit rates
Tonight: LAC @ LA
Sun 4:06 PM ET · Spread +6.5 · Total 45.5 · FanDuel lines at build time (Fri Oct 30, 8:02 PM ET), lines move, check the app.
| Prop | Line | Over | Under | L5 | L10 | Season | Median L5 / L10 | Opp vs QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yds · O/U 205.5 | O/U 205.5 | -114 | -114 | 1/5 | 2/6 | 2/6 | 192 / 198 line above median | 30th most allowed |
| Passing TDs · O/U 1.5 | O/U 1.5 | +154 | -210 | 0/5 | 0/6 | 0/6 | 1 / 1 line above median | 17th most allowed |
| Rushing Yds · O/U 23.5 | O/U 23.5 | -114 | -114 | 3/5 | 4/6 | 4/6 | 26 / 27.5 | 2nd most allowed |
Floor lines tonight cleared 8+ of last 10
| Line | FanDuel | L10 | L5 | Median L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 175+ Passing Yds | -250 | 5/6 | 4/5 | 198 |
| 15+ Rushing Yds | -320 | 5/6 | 4/5 | 27.5 |
| 1+ Passing TDs | -360 | 5/6 | 4/5 | 1 |
| 150+ Passing Yds | -490 | 5/6 | 4/5 | 198 |
| 10+ Rushing Yds | -700 | 5/6 | 4/5 | 27.5 |
| 125+ Passing Yds | -1100 | 5/6 | 4/5 | 198 |
Hit rates are history, not a promise. Model picks, not locks. 21+ | 1-800-GAMBLER
Hit rates on common NFL prop lines
How often Justin Herbert cleared each line in his last 5 games, last 10 games and this season. "20+" means 20 or more (the same as Over 19.5).
Passing Yds
Last 10 avg 190.2 · median 198
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 150+ | 4/5 | 5/6 | 5/6 |
| 175+ | 4/5 | 5/6 | 5/6 |
| 200+ | 2/5 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| 225+ | 1/5 | 1/6 | 1/6 |
Passing TDs
Last 10 avg 0.8 · median 1
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 4/5 | 5/6 | 5/6 |
Pass Completions
Last 10 avg 17.8 · median 18
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15+ | 4/5 | 5/6 | 5/6 |
| 18+ | 3/5 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| 20+ | 2/5 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
| 22+ | 1/5 | 1/6 | 1/6 |
Pass Attempts
Last 10 avg 30.0 · median 29
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25+ | 4/5 | 5/6 | 5/6 |
| 30+ | 3/5 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| 35+ | 1/5 | 1/6 | 1/6 |
Rushing Yds
Last 10 avg 28.0 · median 27.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20+ | 3/5 | 4/6 | 4/6 |
| 30+ | 2/5 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
| 40+ | 2/5 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
| 50+ | 1/5 | 1/6 | 1/6 |
Anytime TD
Last 10 avg 0.0 · median 0
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 0/5 | 0/6 | 0/6 |
Snap share trend
Last 6 games, oldest to newest. A drop here is the first sign a line is getting harder to clear.
Justin Herbert game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap | C/A | Pass Yd | Pass TD | Rush Yd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | @ KC | 100 | 22/37 | 204 | 0 | 26 | 0 |
| 5 | vs DEN | 100 | 14/24 | 121 | 1 | 54 | 0 |
| 4 | @ SEA | 100 | 19/31 | 189 | 1 | 40 | 0 |
| 3 | @ BUF | 100 | 20/34 | 226 | 1 | 17 | 0 |
| 2 | vs LV | 100 | 15/27 | 192 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 1 | vs ARI | 100 | 17/27 | 209 | 1 | 29 | 0 |
Quick answers
What has Justin Herbert averaged in passing yds over his last 10 games?
190.2 passing yds per game over his last 6 games (median 198), through Oct 30, 2026.
How often does Justin Herbert get 200+ passing yds?
3 of his last 6 games and 3 of 6 games this season.
How often does Justin Herbert get 30+ rushing yds?
2 of his last 6 games and 2 of 6 games this season.
Is Justin Herbert playing tonight?
Listed Active as of 8:12 PM ET. Check again close to game time.
Justin Herbert FanDuel props · All NFL player stats · Floor-line board · Defense vs position
Sources: nflverse-data releases (CC-BY 4.0): weekly player stats, snap counts (via Pro-Football-Reference), schedules; injury status from the official NBA report and ESPN; tonight's lines from FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan). Model picks, not locks. Hit rates describe past games only. 21+ | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.