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Deshaun Watson prop stats & hit rates
Tonight: CLE @ PIT
Sun 1:01 PM ET · Spread +3.5 · Total 39.5 · FanDuel lines at build time (Fri Oct 30, 8:02 PM ET), lines move, check the app.
| Prop | Line | Over | Under | L5 | L10 | Season | Median L5 / L10 | Opp vs QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yds · O/U 210.5 | O/U 210.5 | -114 | -114 | 2/5 | 3/7 | 3/7 | 164 / 205 line above median | 20th most allowed |
| Passing TDs · O/U 0.5 | O/U 0.5 | -260 | +188 | 3/5 | 5/7 | 5/7 | 1 / 1 | 28th most allowed |
| Rushing Yds · O/U 25.5 | O/U 25.5 | -114 | -114 | 3/5 | 4/7 | 4/7 | 29 / 29 | 18th most allowed |
Floor lines tonight cleared 8+ of last 10
| Line | FanDuel | L10 | L5 | Median L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15+ Rushing Yds | -390 | 7/7 | 5/5 | 29 |
| 10+ Rushing Yds | -900 | 7/7 | 5/5 | 29 |
| 125+ Passing Yds | -1600 | 7/7 | 5/5 | 205 |
| 20+ Rushing Yds | -210 | 6/7 | 4/5 | 29 |
| 150+ Passing Yds | -650 | 6/7 | 4/5 | 205 |
Hit rates are history, not a promise. Model picks, not locks. 21+ | 1-800-GAMBLER
Hit rates on common NFL prop lines
How often Deshaun Watson cleared each line in his last 5 games, last 10 games and this season. "20+" means 20 or more (the same as Over 19.5).
Passing Yds
Last 10 avg 211.7 · median 205
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 150+ | 4/5 | 6/7 | 6/7 |
| 175+ | 2/5 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
| 200+ | 2/5 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
| 225+ | 2/5 | 3/7 | 3/7 |
| 250+ | 2/5 | 2/7 | 2/7 |
Passing TDs
Last 10 avg 1.0 · median 1
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 3/5 | 5/7 | 5/7 |
| 2+ | 1/5 | 2/7 | 2/7 |
Pass Completions
Last 10 avg 19.4 · median 16
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15+ | 5/5 | 7/7 | 7/7 |
| 18+ | 2/5 | 3/7 | 3/7 |
| 20+ | 2/5 | 3/7 | 3/7 |
| 22+ | 2/5 | 3/7 | 3/7 |
| 25+ | 1/5 | 1/7 | 1/7 |
Pass Attempts
Last 10 avg 30.0 · median 30
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25+ | 5/5 | 6/7 | 6/7 |
| 30+ | 4/5 | 5/7 | 5/7 |
| 35+ | 1/5 | 1/7 | 1/7 |
Rushing Yds
Last 10 avg 30.7 · median 29
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20+ | 4/5 | 6/7 | 6/7 |
| 30+ | 2/5 | 3/7 | 3/7 |
| 40+ | 2/5 | 2/7 | 2/7 |
Anytime TD
Last 10 avg 0.1 · median 0
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 1/5 | 1/7 | 1/7 |
Snap share trend
Last 7 games, oldest to newest. A drop here is the first sign a line is getting harder to clear.
Deshaun Watson game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap | C/A | Pass Yd | Pass TD | Rush Yd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | @ TEN | 100 | 25/36 | 308 | 0 | 19 | 1 |
| 6 | vs BAL | 100 | 16/26 | 164 | 0 | 29 | 0 |
| 5 | @ NYJ | 100 | 15/33 | 155 | 1 | 40 | 0 |
| 4 | vs PIT | 100 | 24/33 | 268 | 1 | 22 | 0 |
| 3 | vs CAR | 99 | 16/30 | 144 | 2 | 45 | 0 |
| 2 | @ TB | 100 | 24/30 | 238 | 2 | 22 | 0 |
| 1 | @ JAX | 100 | 16/22 | 205 | 1 | 38 | 0 |
Quick answers
What has Deshaun Watson averaged in passing yds over his last 10 games?
211.7 passing yds per game over his last 7 games (median 205), through Oct 30, 2026.
How often does Deshaun Watson get 200+ passing yds?
4 of his last 7 games and 4 of 7 games this season.
How often does Deshaun Watson get 30+ rushing yds?
3 of his last 7 games and 3 of 7 games this season.
Is Deshaun Watson playing tonight?
Listed Active as of 8:12 PM ET. Check again close to game time.
Deshaun Watson FanDuel props · All NFL player stats · Floor-line board · Defense vs position
Sources: nflverse-data releases (CC-BY 4.0): weekly player stats, snap counts (via Pro-Football-Reference), schedules; injury status from the official NBA report and ESPN; tonight's lines from FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan). Model picks, not locks. Hit rates describe past games only. 21+ | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.