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Christian Watson prop stats & hit rates
Hit rates on common NFL prop lines
How often Christian Watson cleared each line in his last 5 games, last 10 games and this season. "20+" means 20 or more (the same as Over 19.5).
Receptions
Last 10 avg 5.2 · median 5.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3+ | 5/5 | 8/8 | 8/8 |
| 4+ | 3/5 | 6/8 | 6/8 |
| 5+ | 3/5 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
| 6+ | 2/5 | 4/8 | 4/8 |
| 7+ | 1/5 | 2/8 | 2/8 |
Receiving Yds
Last 10 avg 88.5 · median 80
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40+ | 5/5 | 8/8 | 8/8 |
| 50+ | 4/5 | 6/8 | 6/8 |
| 60+ | 3/5 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
| 75+ | 2/5 | 4/8 | 4/8 |
| 100+ | 2/5 | 3/8 | 3/8 |
Anytime TD
Last 10 avg 0.8 · median 0.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 1/5 | 4/8 | 4/8 |
| 2+ | 1/5 | 2/8 | 2/8 |
Snap share trend
Last 8 games, oldest to newest. A drop here is the first sign a line is getting harder to clear.
Christian Watson game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yd | Rush Yd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | vs CAR | 49 | 10 | 8 | 113 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | @ DET | 81 | 8 | 5 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | vs DAL | 88 | 8 | 3 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | vs CHI | 80 | 8 | 6 | 143 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | @ TB | 68 | 3 | 3 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | vs ATL | 80 | 10 | 7 | 96 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | @ NYJ | 90 | 11 | 4 | 41 | 0 | 1 |
| 1 | @ MIN | 76 | 8 | 6 | 147 | 0 | 2 |
Quick answers
What has Christian Watson averaged in receptions over his last 10 games?
5.2 receptions per game over his last 8 games (median 5.5), through Oct 30, 2026.
How often does Christian Watson get 5+ receptions?
5 of his last 8 games and 5 of 8 games this season.
How often does Christian Watson get 75+ receiving yds?
4 of his last 8 games and 4 of 8 games this season.
Is Christian Watson playing tonight?
Listed Questionable (Ribs · possible rest) as of 8:23 PM ET. Check again close to game time.
Christian Watson FanDuel props · All NFL player stats · Floor-line board · Defense vs position
Sources: nflverse-data releases (CC-BY 4.0): weekly player stats, snap counts (via Pro-Football-Reference), schedules; injury status from the official NBA report and ESPN; tonight's lines from FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan). Model picks, not locks. Hit rates describe past games only. 21+ | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.