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Baker Mayfield prop stats & hit rates
Tonight: TB vs ATL
Sun 1:01 PM ET · Spread -2.5 · Total 43.5 · FanDuel lines at build time (Fri Oct 30, 8:02 PM ET), lines move, check the app.
| Prop | Line | Over | Under | L5 | L10 | Season | Median L5 / L10 | Opp vs QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yds · O/U 215.5 | O/U 215.5 | -114 | -114 | 2/4 | 2/4 | 2/4 | 199 / 199 line above median | 4th most allowed |
| Passing TDs · O/U 1.5 | O/U 1.5 | +104 | -138 | 0/4 | 0/4 | 0/4 | 1 / 1 line above median | 9th most allowed |
| Rushing Yds · O/U 16.5 | O/U 16.5 | -114 | -114 | 2/4 | 2/4 | 2/4 | 17.5 / 17.5 | 32nd most allowed |
Hit rates are history, not a promise. Model picks, not locks. 21+ | 1-800-GAMBLER
Hit rates on common NFL prop lines
How often Baker Mayfield cleared each line in his last 5 games, last 10 games and this season. "20+" means 20 or more (the same as Over 19.5).
Passing Yds
Last 10 avg 169.8 · median 199
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 150+ | 3/4 | 3/4 | 3/4 |
| 175+ | 3/4 | 3/4 | 3/4 |
| 200+ | 2/4 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
Passing TDs
Last 10 avg 0.8 · median 1
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 3/4 | 3/4 | 3/4 |
Pass Completions
Last 10 avg 17.0 · median 19
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15+ | 3/4 | 3/4 | 3/4 |
| 18+ | 2/4 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
| 20+ | 2/4 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
| 22+ | 1/4 | 1/4 | 1/4 |
Pass Attempts
Last 10 avg 26.8 · median 31
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25+ | 3/4 | 3/4 | 3/4 |
| 30+ | 2/4 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
Rushing Yds
Last 10 avg 16.5 · median 17.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20+ | 2/4 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
| 30+ | 1/4 | 1/4 | 1/4 |
Anytime TD
Last 10 avg 0.2 · median 0
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 1/4 | 1/4 | 1/4 |
Snap share trend
Last 4 games, oldest to newest. A drop here is the first sign a line is getting harder to clear.
Baker Mayfield game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap | C/A | Pass Yd | Pass TD | Rush Yd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | @ CAR | 90 | 7/11 | 64 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 3 | vs MIN | 94 | 17/34 | 217 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 2 | vs CLE | 100 | 21/34 | 182 | 1 | 29 | 0 |
| 1 | @ CIN | 100 | 23/28 | 216 | 0 | 30 | 1 |
Quick answers
What has Baker Mayfield averaged in passing yds over his last 10 games?
169.8 passing yds per game over his last 4 games (median 199), through Oct 30, 2026.
How often does Baker Mayfield get 200+ passing yds?
2 of his last 4 games and 2 of 4 games this season.
How often does Baker Mayfield get 20+ rushing yds?
2 of his last 4 games and 2 of 4 games this season.
Is Baker Mayfield playing tonight?
Listed Active as of 8:12 PM ET. Check again close to game time.
Baker Mayfield FanDuel props · All NFL player stats · Floor-line board · Defense vs position
Sources: nflverse-data releases (CC-BY 4.0): weekly player stats, snap counts (via Pro-Football-Reference), schedules; injury status from the official NBA report and ESPN; tonight's lines from FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan). Model picks, not locks. Hit rates describe past games only. 21+ | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.