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Marvin Bagley III prop stats & hit rates
Hit rates on common NBA prop lines
How often Marvin Bagley III cleared each line in his last 5 games, last 10 games and this season. "20+" means 20 or more (the same as Over 19.5). His last 10 includes 2025-26 games because this season is only 4 games old.
Points
Last 10 avg 10.7 · median 7.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ | 0/5 | 3/10 | 0/4 |
| 15+ | 0/5 | 3/10 | 0/4 |
| 20+ | 0/5 | 3/10 | 0/4 |
| 25+ | 0/5 | 1/10 | 0/4 |
Rebounds
Last 10 avg 4.8 · median 4
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4+ | 2/5 | 6/10 | 2/4 |
| 6+ | 0/5 | 3/10 | 0/4 |
| 8+ | 0/5 | 3/10 | 0/4 |
Assists
Last 10 avg 1.2 · median 1
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ | 0/5 | 3/10 | 0/4 |
| 4+ | 0/5 | 0/10 | 0/4 |
| 6+ | 0/5 | 0/10 | 0/4 |
Made Threes
Last 10 avg 0.8 · median 0
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 0/5 | 4/10 | 0/4 |
| 2+ | 0/5 | 2/10 | 0/4 |
| 3+ | 0/5 | 2/10 | 0/4 |
Pts + Reb + Ast
Last 10 avg 16.7 · median 13
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15+ | 0/5 | 3/10 | 0/4 |
| 20+ | 0/5 | 3/10 | 0/4 |
| 25+ | 0/5 | 3/10 | 0/4 |
| 30+ | 0/5 | 3/10 | 0/4 |
| 35+ | 0/5 | 1/10 | 0/4 |
Pts + Reb
Last 10 avg 15.5 · median 11.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15+ | 0/5 | 3/10 | 0/4 |
| 20+ | 0/5 | 3/10 | 0/4 |
| 25+ | 0/5 | 3/10 | 0/4 |
| 30+ | 0/5 | 2/10 | 0/4 |
| 35+ | 0/5 | 1/10 | 0/4 |
Pts + Ast
Last 10 avg 11.9 · median 9
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15+ | 0/5 | 3/10 | 0/4 |
| 20+ | 0/5 | 3/10 | 0/4 |
| 25+ | 0/5 | 1/10 | 0/4 |
Reb + Ast
Last 10 avg 6.0 · median 5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5+ | 1/5 | 5/10 | 1/4 |
| 8+ | 0/5 | 3/10 | 0/4 |
| 10+ | 0/5 | 3/10 | 0/4 |
| 12+ | 0/5 | 1/10 | 0/4 |
Minutes trend
Last 10 games, oldest to newest. A drop here is the first sign a line is getting harder to clear.
Marvin Bagley III game log
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 season | |||||||
| Oct 28 | @ NO | 19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 |
| Oct 26 | vs GS | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Oct 24 | vs NO | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Oct 22 | @ OKC | 11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 2025-26 season | |||||||
| Apr 10 | @ SA | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Apr 8 | @ PHX | 26 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 30 |
| Apr 7 | @ LAC | 26 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 31 |
| Apr 5 | vs LAL | 21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 |
| Mar 27 | @ POR | 27 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 38 |
| Mar 25 | @ DEN | 17 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| Mar 23 | vs GS | 15 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| Mar 21 | vs LAC | 25 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 |
| Mar 18 | vs ATL | 16 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Mar 16 | @ NO | 19 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| Mar 15 | @ CLE | 16 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 |
| Mar 13 | vs CLE | 27 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Mar 12 | @ MEM | 19 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| Mar 10 | @ ATL | 21 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19 |
| Mar 8 | @ TOR | 20 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15 |
| Feb 26 | vs SAC | 29 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
Quick answers
What has Marvin Bagley III averaged in points over his last 10 games?
10.7 points per game over his last 10 games (median 7.5), through Oct 30, 2026.
How often does Marvin Bagley III get 10+ points?
3 of his last 10 games and 0 of 4 games this season.
How often does Marvin Bagley III get 4+ rebounds?
6 of his last 10 games and 2 of 4 games this season.
Is Marvin Bagley III playing tonight?
Not on the injury report as of 8:23 PM ET. Check again close to game time.
All NBA player stats · Floor-line board · Defense vs position
Sources: ESPN public NBA game summaries (cached by tools/quarter_stats.py); injury status from the official NBA report and ESPN; tonight's lines from FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan). Model picks, not locks. Hit rates describe past games only. 21+ | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.