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Luka Doncic prop stats & hit rates
Tonight: LAL @ GS
10:10 PM ET · Spread -2.5 · Total 234.5 · FanDuel lines at build time (Fri Oct 30, 8:02 PM ET), lines move, check the app.
| Prop | Line | Over | Under | L5 | L10 | Season | Median L5 / L10 | Opp vs G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points · O/U 34.5 | O/U 34.5 | -115 | -111 | 2/5 | 5/10 | 2/4 | 28 / 37 | 5th most allowed |
| Rebounds · O/U 7.5 | O/U 7.5 | +106 | -136 | 2/5 | 3/10 | 2/4 | 6 / 6 line above median | 17th most allowed |
| Assists · O/U 7.5 | O/U 7.5 | -111 | -115 | 2/5 | 4/10 | 2/4 | 7 / 7 line above median | 13th most allowed |
| Made Threes · O/U 4.5 | O/U 4.5 | +140 | -180 | 3/5 | 5/10 | 3/4 | 5 / 4.5 line above median | 11th most allowed |
| Pts + Reb + Ast · O/U 50.5 | O/U 50.5 | -104 | -122 | 2/5 | 5/10 | 2/4 | 43 / 49 line above median | - |
| Pts + Reb · O/U 42.5 | O/U 42.5 | -106 | -120 | 2/5 | 5/10 | 2/4 | 36 / 42.5 line above median | - |
| Pts + Ast · O/U 42.5 | O/U 42.5 | -114 | -114 | 2/5 | 5/10 | 2/4 | 35 / 42.5 line above median | - |
| Reb + Ast · O/U 14.5 | O/U 14.5 | -138 | +108 | 2/5 | 3/10 | 2/4 | 14 / 13 line above median | - |
Floor lines tonight cleared 8+ of last 10
| Line | FanDuel | L10 | L5 | Median L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11+ Reb + Ast | -1000 | 10/10 | 5/5 | 13 |
| 10+ Reb + Ast | -2200 | 10/10 | 5/5 | 13 |
| 4+ Rebounds | -3000 | 10/10 | 5/5 | 6 |
| 6+ Assists | -440 | 9/10 | 5/5 | 7 |
| 5+ Rebounds | -850 | 9/10 | 4/5 | 6 |
| 5+ Assists | -1200 | 9/10 | 5/5 | 7 |
| 23+ Points | -2000 | 9/10 | 4/5 | 37 |
| 30+ Pts + Ast | -2000 | 9/10 | 4/5 | 42.5 |
Hit rates are history, not a promise. Model picks, not locks. 21+ | 1-800-GAMBLER
Hit rates on common NBA prop lines
How often Luka Doncic cleared each line in his last 5 games, last 10 games and this season. "20+" means 20 or more (the same as Over 19.5). His last 10 includes 2025-26 games because this season is only 4 games old.
Points
Last 10 avg 34.7 · median 37
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20+ | 4/5 | 9/10 | 4/4 |
| 25+ | 3/5 | 8/10 | 3/4 |
| 30+ | 2/5 | 7/10 | 2/4 |
| 35+ | 2/5 | 5/10 | 2/4 |
| 40+ | 2/5 | 5/10 | 2/4 |
Rebounds
Last 10 avg 6.2 · median 6
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4+ | 5/5 | 10/10 | 4/4 |
| 6+ | 3/5 | 6/10 | 3/4 |
| 8+ | 2/5 | 3/10 | 2/4 |
| 10+ | 0/5 | 0/10 | 0/4 |
Assists
Last 10 avg 7.6 · median 7
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ | 5/5 | 10/10 | 4/4 |
| 4+ | 5/5 | 9/10 | 4/4 |
| 6+ | 5/5 | 9/10 | 4/4 |
| 8+ | 2/5 | 4/10 | 2/4 |
| 10+ | 1/5 | 2/10 | 1/4 |
Made Threes
Last 10 avg 4.3 · median 4.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 5/5 | 10/10 | 4/4 |
| 2+ | 4/5 | 9/10 | 4/4 |
| 3+ | 3/5 | 8/10 | 3/4 |
| 4+ | 3/5 | 6/10 | 3/4 |
| 5+ | 3/5 | 5/10 | 3/4 |
Pts + Reb + Ast
Last 10 avg 48.5 · median 49
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30+ | 4/5 | 9/10 | 4/4 |
| 35+ | 4/5 | 9/10 | 4/4 |
| 40+ | 3/5 | 8/10 | 3/4 |
| 45+ | 2/5 | 7/10 | 2/4 |
| 50+ | 2/5 | 5/10 | 2/4 |
Pts + Reb
Last 10 avg 40.9 · median 42.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20+ | 4/5 | 9/10 | 4/4 |
| 25+ | 4/5 | 9/10 | 4/4 |
| 30+ | 3/5 | 8/10 | 3/4 |
| 35+ | 3/5 | 8/10 | 3/4 |
| 40+ | 2/5 | 5/10 | 2/4 |
Pts + Ast
Last 10 avg 42.3 · median 42.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20+ | 4/5 | 9/10 | 4/4 |
| 25+ | 4/5 | 9/10 | 4/4 |
| 30+ | 4/5 | 9/10 | 4/4 |
| 35+ | 3/5 | 8/10 | 3/4 |
| 40+ | 2/5 | 6/10 | 2/4 |
Reb + Ast
Last 10 avg 13.8 · median 13
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5+ | 5/5 | 10/10 | 4/4 |
| 8+ | 5/5 | 10/10 | 4/4 |
| 10+ | 5/5 | 10/10 | 4/4 |
| 12+ | 4/5 | 8/10 | 4/4 |
| 15+ | 2/5 | 3/10 | 2/4 |
Minutes trend
Last 10 games, oldest to newest. A drop here is the first sign a line is getting harder to clear.
Luka Doncic game log
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 season | |||||||
| Oct 27 | vs POR | 37 | 41 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 55 |
| Oct 25 | @ UTAH | 38 | 52 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 70 |
| Oct 23 | vs LAC | 37 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 36 |
| Oct 21 | vs GS | 30 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 43 |
| 2025-26 season | |||||||
| Apr 2 | @ OKC | 26 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 23 |
| Mar 31 | vs CLE | 34 | 42 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 59 |
| Mar 27 | vs BKN | 39 | 41 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 52 |
| Mar 25 | @ IND | 38 | 43 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 56 |
| Mar 23 | @ DET | 39 | 32 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 45 |
| Mar 21 | @ ORL | 38 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 46 |
| Mar 19 | @ MIA | 38 | 60 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 70 |
| Mar 18 | @ HOU | 38 | 40 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 59 |
| Mar 16 | @ HOU | 40 | 36 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 46 |
| Mar 14 | vs DEN | 43 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 54 |
| Mar 12 | vs CHI | 37 | 51 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 70 |
| Mar 10 | vs MIN | 35 | 31 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 53 |
| Mar 8 | vs NY | 38 | 35 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 47 |
| Mar 6 | vs IND | 32 | 44 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 58 |
| Mar 5 | @ DEN | 40 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 45 |
| Mar 3 | vs NO | 38 | 27 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 44 |
Quick answers
What has Luka Doncic averaged in points over his last 10 games?
34.7 points per game over his last 10 games (median 37), through Oct 30, 2026.
How often does Luka Doncic get 35+ points?
5 of his last 10 games and 2 of 4 games this season.
How often does Luka Doncic get 6+ rebounds?
6 of his last 10 games and 3 of 4 games this season.
Is Luka Doncic playing tonight?
Not on the injury report as of 8:23 PM ET. Check again close to game time.
Luka Doncic FanDuel props · All NBA player stats · Floor-line board · Defense vs position
Sources: ESPN public NBA game summaries (cached by tools/quarter_stats.py); injury status from the official NBA report and ESPN; tonight's lines from FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan). Model picks, not locks. Hit rates describe past games only. 21+ | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.