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Chet Holmgren prop stats & hit rates
Hit rates on common NBA prop lines
How often Chet Holmgren cleared each line in his last 5 games, last 10 games and this season. "20+" means 20 or more (the same as Over 19.5). His last 10 includes 2025-26 games because this season is only 3 games old.
Points
Last 10 avg 14.8 · median 13.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ | 5/5 | 9/10 | 3/3 |
| 15+ | 2/5 | 4/10 | 0/3 |
| 20+ | 1/5 | 2/10 | 0/3 |
| 25+ | 1/5 | 1/10 | 0/3 |
| 30+ | 1/5 | 1/10 | 0/3 |
Rebounds
Last 10 avg 8.6 · median 8
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4+ | 5/5 | 10/10 | 3/3 |
| 6+ | 4/5 | 7/10 | 2/3 |
| 8+ | 3/5 | 5/10 | 1/3 |
| 10+ | 3/5 | 3/10 | 1/3 |
| 12+ | 2/5 | 2/10 | 1/3 |
Assists
Last 10 avg 1.3 · median 1
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ | 3/5 | 4/10 | 2/3 |
| 4+ | 1/5 | 1/10 | 0/3 |
Made Threes
Last 10 avg 1.3 · median 1
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 3/5 | 7/10 | 1/3 |
| 2+ | 2/5 | 3/10 | 1/3 |
| 3+ | 1/5 | 2/10 | 0/3 |
| 4+ | 0/5 | 1/10 | 0/3 |
| 5+ | 0/5 | 0/10 | 0/3 |
Pts + Reb + Ast
Last 10 avg 24.7 · median 24
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15+ | 4/5 | 8/10 | 2/3 |
| 20+ | 4/5 | 7/10 | 2/3 |
| 25+ | 3/5 | 5/10 | 1/3 |
| 30+ | 2/5 | 2/10 | 1/3 |
| 35+ | 1/5 | 1/10 | 0/3 |
Pts + Reb
Last 10 avg 23.4 · median 23.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15+ | 4/5 | 8/10 | 2/3 |
| 20+ | 4/5 | 7/10 | 2/3 |
| 25+ | 3/5 | 5/10 | 1/3 |
| 30+ | 1/5 | 1/10 | 0/3 |
| 35+ | 1/5 | 1/10 | 0/3 |
Pts + Ast
Last 10 avg 16.1 · median 14.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15+ | 3/5 | 5/10 | 1/3 |
| 20+ | 1/5 | 2/10 | 0/3 |
| 25+ | 1/5 | 1/10 | 0/3 |
| 30+ | 1/5 | 1/10 | 0/3 |
| 35+ | 1/5 | 1/10 | 0/3 |
Reb + Ast
Last 10 avg 9.9 · median 9.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5+ | 4/5 | 8/10 | 2/3 |
| 8+ | 4/5 | 7/10 | 2/3 |
| 10+ | 3/5 | 5/10 | 1/3 |
| 12+ | 2/5 | 2/10 | 1/3 |
| 15+ | 2/5 | 2/10 | 1/3 |
Minutes trend
Last 10 games, oldest to newest. A drop here is the first sign a line is getting harder to clear.
Chet Holmgren game log
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 season | |||||||
| Oct 25 | vs LAC | 31 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 |
| Oct 22 | vs DEN | 28 | 12 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 31 |
| Oct 20 | @ SA | 31 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 |
| 2025-26 season | |||||||
| Apr 8 | @ LAC | 31 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 49 |
| Apr 7 | @ LAL | 22 | 15 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 25 |
| Apr 5 | vs UTAH | 22 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 29 |
| Apr 2 | vs LAL | 18 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 |
| Mar 30 | vs DET | 30 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 23 |
| Mar 29 | vs NY | 33 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 27 |
| Mar 25 | @ BOS | 26 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| Mar 23 | @ PHI | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30 |
| Mar 21 | @ WSH | 27 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 28 |
| Mar 18 | @ BKN | 22 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 |
| Mar 17 | @ ORL | 33 | 20 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 33 |
| Mar 15 | vs MIN | 32 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 32 |
| Mar 12 | vs BOS | 28 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 23 |
| Mar 4 | @ NY | 32 | 28 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 38 |
| Mar 3 | @ CHI | 26 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 25 |
| Mar 1 | @ DAL | 28 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 29 |
| Feb 27 | vs DEN | 38 | 15 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 39 |
Quick answers
What has Chet Holmgren averaged in points over his last 10 games?
14.8 points per game over his last 10 games (median 13.5), through Oct 30, 2026.
How often does Chet Holmgren get 15+ points?
4 of his last 10 games and 0 of 3 games this season.
How often does Chet Holmgren get 8+ rebounds?
5 of his last 10 games and 1 of 3 games this season.
Is Chet Holmgren playing tonight?
Listed Out (Right Knee Patellar) as of 8:23 PM ET. Check again close to game time.
Chet Holmgren FanDuel props · All NBA player stats · Floor-line board · Defense vs position
Sources: ESPN public NBA game summaries (cached by tools/quarter_stats.py); injury status from the official NBA report and ESPN; tonight's lines from FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan). Model picks, not locks. Hit rates describe past games only. 21+ | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.