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Ace Bailey prop stats & hit rates
Hit rates on common NBA prop lines
How often Ace Bailey cleared each line in his last 5 games, last 10 games and this season. "20+" means 20 or more (the same as Over 19.5). His last 10 includes 2025-26 games because this season is only 5 games old.
Points
Last 10 avg 15.7 · median 16
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ | 4/5 | 9/10 | 4/5 |
| 15+ | 3/5 | 6/10 | 3/5 |
| 20+ | 0/5 | 2/10 | 0/5 |
| 25+ | 0/5 | 0/10 | 0/5 |
| 30+ | 0/5 | 0/10 | 0/5 |
Rebounds
Last 10 avg 6.4 · median 6
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4+ | 5/5 | 8/10 | 5/5 |
| 6+ | 4/5 | 6/10 | 4/5 |
| 8+ | 2/5 | 3/10 | 2/5 |
| 10+ | 2/5 | 3/10 | 2/5 |
| 12+ | 1/5 | 1/10 | 1/5 |
Assists
Last 10 avg 2.0 · median 2
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ | 4/5 | 7/10 | 4/5 |
| 4+ | 1/5 | 1/10 | 1/5 |
Made Threes
Last 10 avg 1.7 · median 1.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 5/5 | 10/10 | 5/5 |
| 2+ | 2/5 | 5/10 | 2/5 |
| 3+ | 1/5 | 2/10 | 1/5 |
| 4+ | 0/5 | 0/10 | 0/5 |
| 5+ | 0/5 | 0/10 | 0/5 |
Pts + Reb + Ast
Last 10 avg 24.1 · median 22.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15+ | 5/5 | 10/10 | 5/5 |
| 20+ | 4/5 | 7/10 | 4/5 |
| 25+ | 3/5 | 5/10 | 3/5 |
| 30+ | 2/5 | 3/10 | 2/5 |
| 35+ | 0/5 | 1/10 | 0/5 |
Pts + Reb
Last 10 avg 22.1 · median 21.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15+ | 4/5 | 8/10 | 4/5 |
| 20+ | 3/5 | 5/10 | 3/5 |
| 25+ | 3/5 | 5/10 | 3/5 |
| 30+ | 0/5 | 1/10 | 0/5 |
| 35+ | 0/5 | 0/10 | 0/5 |
Pts + Ast
Last 10 avg 17.7 · median 17.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15+ | 4/5 | 8/10 | 4/5 |
| 20+ | 2/5 | 4/10 | 2/5 |
| 25+ | 0/5 | 1/10 | 0/5 |
| 30+ | 0/5 | 0/10 | 0/5 |
| 35+ | 0/5 | 0/10 | 0/5 |
Reb + Ast
Last 10 avg 8.4 · median 7.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5+ | 5/5 | 8/10 | 5/5 |
| 8+ | 4/5 | 5/10 | 4/5 |
| 10+ | 2/5 | 3/10 | 2/5 |
| 12+ | 2/5 | 3/10 | 2/5 |
| 15+ | 1/5 | 1/10 | 1/5 |
Minutes trend
Last 10 games, oldest to newest. A drop here is the first sign a line is getting harder to clear.
Ace Bailey game log
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 season | |||||||
| Oct 28 | vs SA | 40 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 25 |
| Oct 26 | vs MEM | 34 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 30 |
| Oct 25 | vs LAL | 29 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 33 |
| Oct 23 | vs NO | 22 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15 |
| Oct 21 | @ MEM | 24 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 |
| 2025-26 season | |||||||
| Apr 12 | @ LAL | 29 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| Apr 10 | vs MEM | 29 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 35 |
| Apr 5 | @ OKC | 33 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| Apr 3 | @ HOU | 33 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 29 |
| Apr 1 | vs DEN | 33 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 |
| Mar 30 | vs CLE | 35 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 26 |
| Mar 28 | @ PHX | 34 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 |
| Mar 27 | @ DEN | 27 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 |
| Mar 25 | vs WSH | 29 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 23 |
| Mar 23 | vs TOR | 35 | 37 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 46 |
| Mar 21 | vs PHI | 33 | 25 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 36 |
| Mar 19 | vs MIL | 34 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 46 |
| Mar 18 | @ MIN | 25 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 21 |
| Mar 13 | @ POR | 7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| Mar 11 | vs NY | 36 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 27 |
Quick answers
What has Ace Bailey averaged in points over his last 10 games?
15.7 points per game over his last 10 games (median 16), through Oct 30, 2026.
How often does Ace Bailey get 15+ points?
6 of his last 10 games and 3 of 5 games this season.
How often does Ace Bailey get 6+ rebounds?
6 of his last 10 games and 4 of 5 games this season.
Is Ace Bailey playing tonight?
Not on the injury report as of 8:12 PM ET. Check again close to game time.
Ace Bailey FanDuel props · All NBA player stats · Floor-line board · Defense vs position
Sources: ESPN public NBA game summaries (cached by tools/quarter_stats.py); injury status from the official NBA report and ESPN; tonight's lines from FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan). Model picks, not locks. Hit rates describe past games only. 21+ | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.