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Aaron Nesmith prop stats & hit rates
Hit rates on common NBA prop lines
How often Aaron Nesmith cleared each line in his last 5 games, last 10 games and this season. "20+" means 20 or more (the same as Over 19.5). His last 10 includes 2025-26 games because this season is only 4 games old.
Points
Last 10 avg 14.6 · median 14
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ | 4/5 | 8/10 | 3/4 |
| 15+ | 2/5 | 4/10 | 1/4 |
| 20+ | 1/5 | 1/10 | 0/4 |
| 25+ | 1/5 | 1/10 | 0/4 |
| 30+ | 0/5 | 0/10 | 0/4 |
Rebounds
Last 10 avg 2.5 · median 2
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4+ | 2/5 | 2/10 | 1/4 |
| 6+ | 1/5 | 1/10 | 0/4 |
| 8+ | 0/5 | 0/10 | 0/4 |
Assists
Last 10 avg 1.1 · median 1
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ | 2/5 | 3/10 | 1/4 |
Made Threes
Last 10 avg 2.6 · median 2.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 5/5 | 10/10 | 4/4 |
| 2+ | 4/5 | 7/10 | 3/4 |
| 3+ | 3/5 | 5/10 | 2/4 |
| 4+ | 1/5 | 3/10 | 0/4 |
| 5+ | 0/5 | 1/10 | 0/4 |
Pts + Reb + Ast
Last 10 avg 18.2 · median 17
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15+ | 3/5 | 7/10 | 2/4 |
| 20+ | 2/5 | 3/10 | 1/4 |
| 25+ | 1/5 | 1/10 | 0/4 |
| 30+ | 1/5 | 1/10 | 0/4 |
| 35+ | 1/5 | 1/10 | 0/4 |
Pts + Reb
Last 10 avg 17.1 · median 16
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15+ | 2/5 | 6/10 | 1/4 |
| 20+ | 2/5 | 3/10 | 1/4 |
| 25+ | 1/5 | 1/10 | 0/4 |
| 30+ | 1/5 | 1/10 | 0/4 |
Pts + Ast
Last 10 avg 15.7 · median 15
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15+ | 3/5 | 6/10 | 2/4 |
| 20+ | 1/5 | 2/10 | 0/4 |
| 25+ | 1/5 | 1/10 | 0/4 |
| 30+ | 0/5 | 0/10 | 0/4 |
Reb + Ast
Last 10 avg 3.6 · median 3.5
| Line | L5 | L10 | 2026-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5+ | 2/5 | 2/10 | 1/4 |
| 8+ | 1/5 | 1/10 | 0/4 |
Minutes trend
Last 10 games, oldest to newest. A drop here is the first sign a line is getting harder to clear.
Aaron Nesmith game log
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 season | |||||||
| Oct 28 | vs PHI | 27 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 |
| Oct 26 | @ MIL | 21 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 |
| Oct 25 | @ BKN | 19 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 |
| Oct 23 | vs DAL | 20 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 |
| 2025-26 season | |||||||
| Mar 27 | vs LAC | 35 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 35 |
| Mar 25 | vs LAL | 32 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 |
| Mar 23 | @ ORL | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 23 |
| Mar 21 | @ SA | 25 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| Mar 18 | vs POR | 26 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| Mar 17 | @ NY | 24 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 |
| Mar 15 | @ MIL | 29 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 35 |
| Mar 13 | vs NY | 34 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 |
| Mar 10 | @ SAC | 35 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 36 |
| Mar 8 | @ POR | 25 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| Mar 6 | @ LAL | 23 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 |
| Mar 4 | @ LAC | 20 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| Feb 19 | @ WSH | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Feb 10 | @ NY | 37 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 19 |
| Feb 8 | @ TOR | 23 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
| Feb 6 | @ MIL | 27 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 |
Quick answers
What has Aaron Nesmith averaged in points over his last 10 games?
14.6 points per game over his last 10 games (median 14), through Oct 30, 2026.
How often does Aaron Nesmith get 15+ points?
4 of his last 10 games and 1 of 4 games this season.
How often does Aaron Nesmith get 4+ rebounds?
2 of his last 10 games and 1 of 4 games this season.
Is Aaron Nesmith playing tonight?
Listed Active (Left Hamstring Strain) as of 8:12 PM ET. Check again close to game time.
Aaron Nesmith FanDuel props · All NBA player stats · Floor-line board · Defense vs position
Sources: ESPN public NBA game summaries (cached by tools/quarter_stats.py); injury status from the official NBA report and ESPN; tonight's lines from FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan). Model picks, not locks. Hit rates describe past games only. 21+ | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.