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Larry Nance Jr. player props

IND @ MIA · Fri 8:10 PM ET · Active · updated 8:02 PM

New here? Start freeNeed help?Model picks, not locks. 21+ | 1-800-GAMBLER

His numbers, in charts

Every chart uses his real game logs. Past results, not a prediction.

over the lineunder- - - tonight's line

Points

Tonight's FanDuel line 6.5 · Over +104 / Under -132

2/10over
6.5Mar 31 at LAL: 2 pts · under2@LALApr 5 vs IND: 6 pts · under6INDApr 6 at MEM: 10 pts · over10@MEMApr 10 at ATL: 4 pts · under4@ATLApr 12 vs WSH: 10 pts · over10WSHOct 21 at NO: 0 pts · under0@NOOct 23 vs DAL: 0 pts · under0DALOct 25 at BKN: 6 pts · under6@BKNOct 26 at MIL: 2 pts · under2@MILOct 28 vs PHI: 5 pts · under5PHI

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Last 10 games (incl. last season) · over 6.5 in 2 of 10 · average 4.5

How often he hits common marks (last 10)

2/1010+ pts
0/1015+ pts
0/1020+ pts
0/1025+ pts
0/1030+ pts

Averages (games played)

Dashed mark = tonight's line 6.5. Teal = average above it, red = below. Home/away use this season.

Rebounds

Tonight's FanDuel line 4.5 · Over +110 / Under -140

3/10over
4.5Mar 31 at LAL: 4 reb · under4@LALApr 5 vs IND: 3 reb · under3INDApr 6 at MEM: 3 reb · under3@MEMApr 10 at ATL: 1 reb · under1@ATLApr 12 vs WSH: 6 reb · over6WSHOct 21 at NO: 0 reb · under0@NOOct 23 vs DAL: 0 reb · under0DALOct 25 at BKN: 6 reb · over6@BKNOct 26 at MIL: 3 reb · under3@MILOct 28 vs PHI: 5 reb · over5PHI

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Last 10 games (incl. last season) · over 4.5 in 3 of 10 · average 3.1

How often he hits common marks (last 10)

4/104+ reb
2/106+ reb
0/108+ reb
0/1010+ reb
0/1012+ reb

Averages (games played)

Dashed mark = tonight's line 4.5. Teal = average above it, red = below. Home/away use this season.

Ast

No FanDuel line for this stat right now.

Mar 31 at LAL: 1 ast1@LALApr 5 vs IND: 1 ast1INDApr 6 at MEM: 1 ast1@MEMApr 10 at ATL: 0 ast0@ATLApr 12 vs WSH: 3 ast3WSHOct 21 at NO: 0 ast0@NOOct 23 vs DAL: 0 ast0DALOct 25 at BKN: 1 ast1@BKNOct 26 at MIL: 1 ast1@MILOct 28 vs PHI: 0 ast0PHI

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Last 10 games (incl. last season), oldest → newest · average 0.8

How often he hits common marks (last 10)

1/102+ ast
0/104+ ast
0/106+ ast
0/108+ ast
0/1010+ ast

Averages (games played)

Home/away use this season.

Threes

No FanDuel line for this stat right now.

Mar 31 at LAL: 0 threes0@LALApr 5 vs IND: 1 threes1INDApr 6 at MEM: 0 threes0@MEMApr 10 at ATL: 0 threes0@ATLApr 12 vs WSH: 1 threes1WSHOct 21 at NO: 0 threes0@NOOct 23 vs DAL: 0 threes0DALOct 25 at BKN: 1 threes1@BKNOct 26 at MIL: 0 threes0@MILOct 28 vs PHI: 1 threes1PHI

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Last 10 games (incl. last season), oldest → newest · average 0.4

How often he hits common marks (last 10)

4/101+ threes
0/102+ threes
0/103+ threes
0/104+ threes

Averages (games played)

Home/away use this season.

Minutes trend (last 10)

122221162051221923

Oldest → newest. Dashed = this season average 14.0 min. More minutes usually means more chances.

Computed by Slip Surgeon from public NBA box scores, updated once a day. "Over" means he beat the line; 24.5 needs 25+.

Free stats for Larry Nance Jr. (Indiana Pacers F): his FanDuel lines, how he did against them lately, and how Miami Heat defend his position.

FanDuel lines

PropLineOverUnderImplied (over)DvP vs MIA
Points6.5+104-13249.0%11th of 30
Rebounds4.5+110-14047.6%10th of 30
Pts + Reb10.5-113-11353.0%-

FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan) prices, captured at build time; implied % includes the book's margin. DvP rank 1 = the defense that allows the most of that stat to his position this season.

5 straight under 6.5 pts

Model read

No strong pick on his lines right now. That's not a lean either way. See the Hunter for every leg that did.

Miami Heat defense vs forwards

PointsAverage matchup
Soft11th of 30 · 46 allowed/gameTough
ReboundsSoft matchup
Soft10th of 30 · 21.4 allowed/gameTough

Full breakdown: Miami Heat defense vs position.

Game log & hit rateslast 10: 4.5 pts · 16.1 min

How often Larry Nance Jr. went over each FanDuel line he has tonight. Splits use this season; "vs MIA" covers every game we have against them since 2025-26.

LineL5L10SznAwayvs MIA
PTS 6.50/52/100/50/30/2
REB 4.52/53/102/51/31/2
P+R 10.51/53/101/51/30/2
Rebounds vs 4.53 of 10 over
4.54@LAL3IND3@MEM1@ATL6WSH0@NO0DAL6@BKN3@MIL5PHIold→
Pts + Reb vs 10.53 of 10 over
10.56@LAL9IND13@MEM5@ATL16WSH0@NO0DAL12@BKN5@MIL10PHIold→
over the lineunder- - - FanDuel lineoldest → newest
Minutes, last 10dashed = this season avg 14.0
122221162051221923

Last 10 games (incl. last season)

DateOppMINPTSREBAST3PMPRA
10/28vs PHI23550110
10/26@ MIL1923106
10/25@ BKN22661113
10/23vs DAL100000
10/21@ NO500000
4/12vs WSH201063119
4/10@ ATL1641005
4/6@ MEM211031014
4/5vs IND22631110
3/31@ LAL1224107
This season averagesGMINPTSREBAST3PM
All games514.02.62.80.40.4
Home212.02.52.50.00.5
Away315.32.73.00.70.3

Computed by Slip Surgeon from public NBA box scores and play-by-play (regular season, games through 2026-10-29), updated once a day. "Over" means he beat the line; a line of 19.5 needs 20+. Past results, not a prediction. Model picks, not locks.

Quarter by quarter3+ every Q: 0/10 last 10

How often Larry Nance Jr. scored in every quarter (Q1 to Q4, overtime not counted). A quarter he sat out counts as a miss.

Avg points by quarter, 2026-27 seasonQ1 → Q4
10.60.40.6
Minutes per quarter, 2026-27 season (5 g)14.1 of 48
MinutesQ1Q2Q3Q4
Avg3.33.92.74.2
League rank263/297262/297284/297228/297

In blowouts (18+ either way after 3 quarters, 2 g) he averaged 4.7 Q4 minutes vs 1.7 in close games. Low 4th-quarter minutes: a risk for every-quarter legs. How we count it: minutes rebuilt from ESPN's substitution log and checked against the box score (games that don't match within 1.5 min are left out); rank is among 297 rotation players (12+ min a game).

SpanGames1+ every Q3+ every Q5+ every Q
2026-27 season50% (0)0% (0)0% (0)
Last 10 games*1010% (1)0% (0)0% (0)
2025-26 season343% (1)0% (0)0% (0)
Avg pointsQ1Q2Q3Q4Min floor
2026-27 season1.00.60.40.61
Last 10 games*1.60.91.01.01
2025-26 season0.61.10.41.74

*Includes games from last season. Min floor = his fewest minutes in that span. Computed by Slip Surgeon from ESPN's public NBA play-by-play (regular season, games through 2026-10-29); every game is checked against the box score. Past results, not a prediction.

Full list for tonight: Every-Quarter Scorers →

Whole game: Pacers vs Heat player props. All players: NBA player props.

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