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NBA player props · Tue Nov 10
Heat vs Jazz player props tonight
MIA @ UTAH · Tue 9:10 PM ET · updated 6:32 PM
Free stats for Miami Heat at Utah Jazz: how each player has done against tonight's line, matchups, injuries and FanDuel odds. No sign-up needed.
Model picks, not promises. Lines move, so check the app. 21+ | 1-800-GAMBLER
Model picks
Free model leans: our number beats the FanDuel price, the leg is double-checked against public stat lines, and the player is active.
Over 5.5 Rebounds · FanDuel +120
Last 10 games · over 5.5 in 5 of 10 · average 6.3
- Our model gives it a 49% chance; the FanDuel price implies 45%. (model 48.9% vs 45.5% implied)
- A second projection site has him at 6.2.
- He is averaging 6.3 over his last 10 games.
- UTAH allows the most rebounds to forwards.
Over 10.5 Points · FanDuel -113
Last 10 games · over 10.5 in 0 of 10 · average 6.2
- Our model gives it a 56% chance; the FanDuel price implies 53%. (model 56.0% vs 53.0% implied)
- A second projection site has him at 12.9.
Under 13.5 Points · FanDuel -115
Last 10 games · over 13.5 in 1 of 10 · average 7.3
- Our model gives it a 56% chance; the FanDuel price implies 53%. (model 56.4% vs 53.5% implied)
- A second projection site has him at 10.9.
Under 5.5 Assists · FanDuel -118
Last 10 games · over 5.5 in 2 of 10 · average 3.9
- Our model gives it a 57% chance; the FanDuel price implies 54%. (model 57.0% vs 54.1% implied)
- A second projection site has him at 4.3.
- He is averaging 3.9 over his last 10 games.
- MIA allows the 3rd-most assists to guards.
Top trends
Players who keep landing on one side of tonight's line. Swipe for more. Trends, not picks; questionable players left out.
9/10 under 13.5 points
8/10 under 19.5 points
7/10 under 16.5 points
6/10 under 29.5 points
6/10 over 17.5 points
5/10 over 13.5 points
FanDuel lines & recent form
The main player lines and how each player did against that number lately. Odds as FanDuel shows them; the small % is the chance the price implies.
Last 10 games · over 29.5 in 4 of 10 · average 27.5
Last 10 games · over 19.5 in 2 of 10 · average 14.8
Last 10 games · over 17.5 in 6 of 10 · average 18.5
Last 10 games · over 16.5 in 3 of 10 · average 11.9
Last 10 games · over 13.5 in 1 of 10 · average 7.3
Last 10 games · over 13.5 in 5 of 10 · average 14.7
FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan), captured Tue Nov 10, 6:32 PM ET. Lines move. Past results, not a prediction.
Matchups
How easy each defense is on each position this season. Left = soft (gives up the most), right = tough. (Defense vs position, DvP)
Jazz defense vs Heat players
Heat defense vs Jazz players
Softest spots in this game
- MIA allows the most 3-pointers made to guards (10.2 a game, +33% vs average). Player in this spot: Darryn Peterson, averaging 1.9, FanDuel line 2.5.
- MIA allows the most points to guards (69.1 a game, +22% vs average). Player in this spot: Ace Bailey, averaging 11.9, FanDuel line 16.5.
- UTAH allows the most rebounds to forwards (22.7 a game, +21% vs average). Player in this spot: Giannis Antetokounmpo Probable, averaging 12.9, FanDuel line 12.5.
Full rankings: Miami Heat · Utah Jazz · all NBA teams. Early-season samples are small.
Team vs team
Side by side: record, scoring, defense and recent form.
Records and averages from 10 and 10 games this regular season. Brighter bar = the better side. Past results, not a prediction.
Injuries
Red = out, yellow = questionable (never a top pick), green = expected to play.
- Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA F ProbableRight Wrist Sprain
- Jaren Jackson Jr. UTAH F OutRight MCL Tear
- Keyonte George UTAH G OutRight Ankle Sprain
- Lauri Markkanen UTAH F OutRight Wrist Sprain
Status updated 6:32 PM ET from the official NBA injury report and ESPN. Out and doubtful players are left out of picks and lines.
More stats
Tap a row to open it.
Pace & scoring contextmatchup avg 230.5 combined pts
Points per game this season (regular season). The matchup average blends each offense with the other team's defense: 230.5 combined points.
Matchups by position: Heat defense vs position · Jazz defense vs position
Computed by Slip Surgeon from public NBA box scores, updated once a day. Not a betting line. Past results, not a prediction.
Quarter by quarterevery-quarter scorers in this game
Players in this game who most often score 3+ points in every quarter, from their last 10 games.
| Player | Recent: 3+ every Q | This season | Min floor (recent) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo Probable MIA F | 6/10 | 6/10 | 25 |
| Bam Adebayo MIA C | 4/10 | 4/10 | 23 |
| Darryn Peterson UTAH G | 2/10 | 2/10 | 26 |
| Davion Mitchell MIA G | 1/10 | 1/10 | 29 |
| Ace Bailey UTAH G | 0/10 | 0/10 | 22 |
| Pelle Larsson MIA G | 0/10 | 0/10 | 22 |
100+ points through 3 quarters, recent games this season (up to 10): MIA 1/10 (avg 85.8) · UTAH 1/10 (avg 79.3).
Past results, not a prediction.
First basketThe NBA told partner sportsbooks on Oct 16, 2026 to stop offering first-basket and opening-tip bets, so we no longer show first-basket prices. NBA first-basket rule change →
If a key player sitsKeyonte George (Out), Lauri Markkanen (Out)
Teammates whose numbers rose most in games these players missed (points + rebounds + assists per game, without vs with).
| If out | Player | G w/o | PRA w/o | Change | MIN change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyonte George | Isaiah Collier | 12 | 30.3 | +12.7 | +11.2 |
| Keyonte George | Ace Bailey | 11 | 24.1 | +6.6 | +6.3 |
| Keyonte George | Kyle Filipowski | 12 | 23.8 | +6.5 | +3 |
| Lauri Markkanen | Kyle Filipowski | 17 | 22 | +6.7 | +7.6 |
| Lauri Markkanen | Brice Sensabaugh | 16 | 21.6 | +6.7 | +2.7 |
| Lauri Markkanen | Ace Bailey | 16 | 21.6 | +5 | +6.3 |
How we count it: same-team regular-season games, 2025-26 and this season, 3+ games without the player. Past results, not a prediction.
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