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Paul Reed player props
Every FanDuel line we have for Paul Reed tonight, the chance each price implies, our model's number where it has one, and how the New York Knicks defend his position. Model picks, not locks. Lines move, so check the app.
FanDuel lines
| Prop | Line | Over | Under | Implied (over) | DvP vs NY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 11.5 | -132 | +100 | 56.9% | 20th of 30 |
| Rebounds | 8.5 | +106 | -140 | 48.5% | 25th of 30 |
| Assists | 2.5 | +116 | -154 | 46.3% | 4th of 30 |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 23.5 | -102 | -130 | 50.5% | - |
| Pts + Reb | 20.5 | -114 | -114 | 53.3% | - |
| Pts + Ast | 14.5 | -114 | -114 | 53.3% | - |
| Reb + Ast | 10.5 | -125 | -106 | 55.6% | - |
FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan) prices, captured at build time; implied % includes the book's margin. DvP rank 1 = the defense that allows the most of that stat to his position this season.
Model read
None of his lines cleared our free model filter (our number beats the FanDuel price, a second-source projection agrees, and he's active). That's not a lean either way. See the Hunter for every leg that did.
Recent form
- Assists: averaging 2.3 over his last 3 games (FanDuel line 2.5).
New York Knicks defense vs forwards
- Points: allows the 20th-most to forwards (39.3 per game, -6.8% vs league average, 3-game sample).
- Rebounds: allows the 25th-most to forwards (15.7 per game, -19.2% vs league average, 3-game sample).
- Assists: allows the 4th-most to forwards (10 per game, +28.3% vs league average, 3-game sample).
Full breakdown: New York Knicks defense vs position.
When Ausar Thompson is outQuestionable tonight · +1.7 pts, +0.9 min in 9 g without him
Ausar Thompson is Questionable (Right Ankle Sprain). Here's how Paul Reed has done in games Ausar Thompson missed, next to games they played together.
| Per game | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Without him | 9 | 15 | 9.4 | 5.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 16.9 |
| With him | 59 | 14.1 | 7.7 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 13.4 |
| Change | +0.9 | +1.7 | +1.2 | +0.6 | +0.1 | +3.5 |
How we count it: regular-season games from 2025-26 and 2026-27 on the same team (1 of the 9 games without him are from this season). Small samples swing a lot. Built from Slip Surgeon's game logs (ESPN public box scores). Past results, not a prediction.
Game log & hit rateslast 10: 10.6 pts · 17.4 min
How often Paul Reed went over each FanDuel line he has tonight. Splits use this season; "vs NY" covers every game we have against them since 2025-26.
| Line | L5 | L10 | Szn | Away | vs NY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PTS 11.5 | 2/5 | 2/10 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 2/3 |
| REB 8.5 | 1/5 | 1/10 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 0/3 |
| AST 2.5 | 2/5 | 3/10 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 1/3 |
| PRA 23.5 | 2/5 | 2/10 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 1/3 |
| P+R 20.5 | 2/5 | 2/10 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 1/3 |
| P+A 14.5 | 2/5 | 3/10 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 2/3 |
| R+A 10.5 | 1/5 | 1/10 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 0/3 |
Last 10 games (incl. last season)
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | @ PHI | 23 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 18 |
| 10/23 | @ MIA | 26 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
| 10/20 | vs BOS | 17 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 4/12 | @ IND | 22 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 35 |
| 4/10 | @ CHA | 10 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| 4/8 | vs MIL | 10 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 |
| 4/6 | @ ORL | 19 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 |
| 4/4 | @ PHI | 18 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| 4/2 | vs MIN | 16 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 3/31 | vs TOR | 13 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| This season averages | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3 | 22.0 | 11.0 | 8.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Home | 1 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| Away | 2 | 24.5 | 13.5 | 9.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
Computed by Slip Surgeon from public NBA box scores and play-by-play (regular season, games through 2026-10-25), updated once a day. "Over" means he beat the line; a line of 19.5 needs 20+. Past results, not a prediction. Model picks, not locks.
Quarter by quarter3+ every Q: 1/10 last 10
How often Paul Reed scored in every quarter (Q1 to Q4, overtime not counted). A quarter he sat out counts as a miss.
| Minutes | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg | 5.7 | 4.1 | 6.3 | 5.9 |
| League rank | 180/280 | 237/280 | 152/280 | 143/280 |
In blowouts (18+ either way after 3 quarters, 1 g) he averaged 6.9 Q4 minutes vs 2.1 in close games. Low 4th-quarter minutes: a risk for every-quarter legs. How we count it: minutes rebuilt from ESPN's substitution log and checked against the box score (games that don't match within 1.5 min are left out); rank is among 280 rotation players (12+ min a game).
| Span | Games | 1+ every Q | 3+ every Q | 5+ every Q |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 season | 3 | 33% (1) | 33% (1) | 0% (0) |
| Last 10 games* | 10 | 10% (1) | 10% (1) | 0% (0) |
| 2025-26 season | 65 | 15% (10) | 5% (3) | 0% (0) |
| Avg points | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Min floor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 season | 2.7 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 17 |
| Last 10 games* | 2.6 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 10 |
| 2025-26 season | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2 |
*Includes games from last season. Min floor = his fewest minutes in that span. Computed by Slip Surgeon from ESPN's public NBA play-by-play (regular season, games through 2026-10-25); every game is checked against the box score. Past results, not a prediction.
Whole game: Pistons vs Knicks player props. All players: NBA player props.
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